Fibre-based packaging is set to play an increasingly important role in the food packaging sector in the coming years. This is according to a recent study by UPM Specialty Materials and the research firm Smithers, which surveyed more than 230 packaging experts from across the value chain.

According to the study, the share of fibre-based packaging could rise from 37 per cent today to 42 per cent by 2045. By that time, fibre-based materials would account for the largest share of the food packaging market.

A key driver behind this development is progress in barrier technology. New coatings and other technologies make it possible to better protect paper and board packaging against, for example, moisture, grease and oxygen. As a result, fibre-based packaging can also be used for applications that currently still rely heavily on other materials.

Regulatory frameworks and circularity also play a significant role. For instance, 71 per cent of the experts surveyed expect sustainability to increasingly become a legal requirement. Extended producer responsibility (EPR) and eco-modulation may also influence the choice of packaging materials.

The study also predicts that the global recycling rate for packaging will continue to rise, from 31 per cent in 2030 to 37 per cent in 2045. Europe is expected to play a leading role in this.

The figures provide an indication of a possible long-term trend. The extent to which fibre-based packaging will actually increase its market share will depend, amongst other things, on technological developments, regulation and the further expansion of recycling systems.

IBE-BVI members can obtain the full report on request: click here